Who will win the presidential election?

Who will win the Presidential Election?

Introduction

Throughout the history, American presidential elections have been seen as the most important elections in the world. The American president has the authority to seek modifications in all the political, economic and social policies that are derived throughout the world. During the elections, the entire world seems to be watching the progress in order to know the person, who is going to have an impact on the entire world for the next four years. The contenders in the 2012 political run are Mitt Romney and Barrack Obama. The paper will establish the viewpoint that Barrack Obama will win the 2012 presidential elections. It will also discuss the extent to which he can be seen as a potential candidate because of his personality, his presence in the Whitehouse, his determination to change the system and the way he handles crises.

Discussion

President Obama has a pleasant, likable and conscious personality, which gives him a competitive advantage in this political run. If an analysis of the election in 2000 is conducted, it will be concluded that George Bush won the elections because of his regular-guy approach. Al Gore had a stiff personality that made him lose the elections because he would be seen as a hardliner. Obama, unlike Romney, can be considered an individual that is professorial yet natural, when it comes to handling problems on the go. In the wake of 9/11 crisis, George Bush showed his character by encouraging the nation to face the challenges ahead. This surely was the reason behind his reelection. No matter how flawed Clinton was, he still was reelected because of his economic reforms that made the nation believe that he still could do something better for America despite the flaws in his character (Miller, 2012).

Obama will be benefitted because of his presence in the Whitehouse. In his book, The West Wing, Aaron Sorkin says that the president in the white house has an edge over his rival and it can be established that the president will win the next elections because since 1980, no president has lost the second term except George Bush senior. According to Sorkin, the white house serves to be a home court for the president (Miller, 2012). The president can change the minds of the people by making popular decisions at any time, while serving in the Whitehouse. It is the perception of the voters that can be changed at any given moment and the president has to choose the right path to follow in order to change the perception.

It is the defining moment that is the most important to be discussed here. The defining moment for an election is the one that can change the overall perception about a president. In 2008, McCain seemed unprepared to take the presidential charge at the moment, when he decided to suspend a meeting. The debate that was cancelled because of the suspension of the campaign was meant to make the nation believe that the ...